In an attempt to reach people who don't understand statistics, analogies are sometimes helpful. This one works on a few levels.
Minor fact check: only 15-20% of gunshot wounds are fatal, not 50% as cited.
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The Field of Poll Analysis Is Unscientific - Here's How to Fix It
Properly read, polls are extremely accurate. At least, they have been. Understanding how polls work gives readers a baseline to interpret data, and deal with the mountains of misinformation pushed by experts.
Properly read, polls are extremely accurate. At least, they have been. Understanding how polls work gives readers a baseline to interpret data, and deal with the mountains of misinformation pushed by experts.